Although drafting advanced receivers aboriginal isn’t activity to achromatize anytime soon, you’ll still charge to abstract alive backs this summer. Aloof as we’ve done in attractive at the advanced receiver position a few weeks back, we’re activity to highlight noteworthy 2015 statistical nuggets and added addendum for a few alive backs and how those could appearance their 2016 outlook.
Lamar Miller – 12.1 Hasty Attempts Per Game
That per d mark ranked 31st in the NFL aftermost season. Miller’s 194 absolute carries ranked 17th, beneath Rashad Jennings, Chris Johnson, Ronnie Hillman and Alfred Morris to name a few. Alike in a analysis with a wretched, generally afflicted backfield rotation, Texans RB1s averaged 16.2 hasty attempts per d while Miller has had 16 carries in aloof 12 of 61 career amateur to this point. Aback Bill O’Brien has been in Houston, the Texans are additional in absolute NFL hasty attempts and they were still 5th all-embracing aftermost year in a analysis in which they trailed for 50 percent of their abhorrent snaps while alive out that circling of talentless and afflicted backs. Oh, and Miller is appealing good. Alone DeMarco Murray (190), LeSean McCoy (176), Matt Forte (170) and Frank Gore (169) accept added runs of 5 or added yards than Miller’s 160 over the accomplished two seasons, and all of those players accept had 75-175 added hasty attempts than Miller during that span.
Editor’s Note: For adapted rankings, projections, amateur profiles, positional tiers, apish drafts, sleepers and busts, absolute columns and affluence more, analysis out our Draft Guide!
Todd Gurley and Keeping Amateur Close
Not alike a backward alpha due to an ACL abrasion or the Rams’ bloodless breach could anticipate Gurley from a blemish amateur season. He ran for 1,106 yards in about 12 amateur and denticulate 10 times on the ground. In fact, Gurley didn’t alike account until afterwards the Week 6 bye, as those 10 hasty TDs led the NFL from Week 7 on. It wasn’t all acceptable for Gurley, though, as he averaged aloof 3.9 yards per backpack over his final eight amateur and was captivated beneath four yards per backpack in bristles of them. If Gurley needs aggregate afresh to assemblage fantasy points, the bigger agency for that advice into fantasy success will be the Rams actuality able to adhere about in games.
In the three amateur in which the Rams trailed by a touchdown or added at halftime with Gurley active, he totaled aloof 34 accumulated touches while averaging 23.2 touches per d in his added nine weeks. Keeping the Rams’ best amateur complex in the d was not alone important for accessible reasons, but Gurley got decidedly added able as amateur wore on in 2015 to the point breadth Marshawn Lynch would be proud.
Todd Gurley Hasty Achievement Per Analysis in 2015
Fun with Splits
DeMarco Murray was absolutely miscast in Chip Kelly’s system, but there were still some basal positives to his 2015 performance. Although he averaged aloof 2.8 yards per backpack on runs abaft or off accouterment on 110 attempts, Murray averaged 4.6 yards on runs bouncer to bouncer aftermost year, abaft alone Spencer Ware, Thomas Rawls and Adrian Peterson for all backs with 50 or added such attempts. That 1.8 yards per backpack accident was the bigger aberration for any alive aback that able for both fields. Afterwards Mike Mularkey took over for Ken Whisenhunt in Week 9, 56 percent of the Titans’ alive aback runs were run from bouncer to guard. Murray still has amateur Derrick Henry to argue with and Henry may accept the money touches a the end zone, but Murray stands to be in a abundant bigger ambiance for his hasty accomplishment set this season.
I mentioned this in casual aback discussing the aftereffect Chip Kelly’s appoint may accept on the San Francisco offense. Kelly’s alive arrangement is agnate to the blazon of arrangement Carlos Hyde ran in academy and what helped get Hyde called in the additional annular of the 2014 draft. In Philadelphia, 78 percent of the Eagles’ alive aback runs came while the quarterback was in the shotgun or pistol. Over his aboriginal two seasons, Hyde’s hasty splits in those situations accept been acutely different.
Carlos Hyde’s Career Hasty Achievement Beneath Center vs Shotgun/Pistol
Hyde may still accept accepting and scoring issues that cap his ceiling, but the arrangement change and additions of Josh Garnett and Zane Beadles to the autogenous band should accommodate a bigger hasty altitude to aerate Hyde’s strengths.
These Earlier Backs Still Accept a Fantasy Pulse
Now 31 years of age, Adrian Peterson has alone out of the top-5 alive backs in agreement of ADP and into the backward aboriginal and aboriginal additional annular about-face breadth of contempo PPR drafts. That may accept added to do with the backs aloft him now than Purple Jesus himself, but Peterson showed in 2015 that he’s not accessible to apathetic bottomward aloof yet.
Adrian Peterson’s 2015 Hasty Ranks
Sure, Peterson has alone bent 30 and 29 passes over his aftermost two abounding seasons, but alike in PPR leagues, the alone amateur to bout Peterson in top-24 scoring weeks was Devonta Freeman and alone Freeman and DeAngelo Williams spent added weeks in the top 12. I already accent that Peterson absent out on possibly scoring addition four to bristles touchdowns, and he still acquaint his eighth analysis with bifold chiffre scores, article he’s done every year in his career alfresco of the 2014 analysis that he gave away.
Peterson additionally led the NFL in amateur with 20 or added hasty attempts (nine) and hasty yards in the 4th analysis (414 yards on 6.9 yards per carry). The Vikings added Alex Boone and Andre Smith to their abhorrent band and now comedy the NFC East and AFC South alfresco of their own division. Father Time is best aback he comes knocking, but Peterson may not be accessible to acknowledgment the aperture aloof yet.
Matt Forte is additionally axis 31 years old this season. The affair I like best about Forte and his 2016 age-induced abatement is that he has consistently been a amateur that has agitated accessory deficiencies and they haven’t meant annihilation to his basal band in fantasy output. Forte is one of the affliction runners a the ambition band anytime and is no best a blackmail to do above accident on the ground, as he’s averaged beneath 70 yards hasty per d in anniversary of the accomplished two seasons on 16.7 carries per game. Despite those marks, he’s still been a top-12 PPR alive aback in every year of his career and has accomplished alfresco of the top 15 in accepted leagues aloof once. Forte has never had a analysis with beneath than 1,200 yards from scrimmage. Thanks to his arch accepting skills, Forte has had aloof one analysis (2009) beneath 90 yards from flat per game.
Even aftermost season, Forte ranked 7th in PPR (16.5) and accepted (13.1) credibility per game. He was a top-24 PPR scorer in 10 of his 13 amateur played with six in the top 12. In Chan Gailey’s accessible offense, players out of the backfield accept bent 24.2 percent, 26.2 and 25.9 percent of the aggregation receptions and in 2015, Bilal Powell (47), Chris Ivory (30), Zac Stacy (9) and Stevan Ridley (4) accumulated for 90 catches. That accumulation of backs had one analysis with 30 or added receptions amid them through their absolute careers entering 2015, so a aback like Forte should see some above assignment through the air. Alike if Powell shaves targets off of Forte’s basal line, I accept a adamantine time envisioning Forte declining to hit 50 additional receptions for the seventh time in his career.
At age 32 in an breach that absent its starting quarterback for over bisected of the season, it’s not abominable that Frank Gore acquaint career-lows of 3.7 yards per backpack and 4.2 yards per touch. What is hasty is that the Colts brought in almost aught antagonism afterwards Gore accounted for 79 percent of the Colts’ alive aback hasty attempts (third in the league) while abacus 58 targets. Gore’s 294 touches aftermost analysis were his best aback 2011.
The aftermost time that a aback 33 years or earlier has rushed for 1,000 yards was John Riggins in 1984. The aftermost alive aback to blitz for at atomic 900 yards in a analysis was Emmitt Smith in 2004. We’ve additionally had aloof two backs of the aforementioned age or earlier column top-24 accepted seasons over the accomplished 20 years with three in PPR formats. Gore hasn’t absent a d aback 2010, but that can appropriately be beheld as a abrogating as he’s acceptable been appropriately advantageous as able-bodied as abiding aback his 1,595 touches over the accomplished bristles seasons are additional best in the NFL.
I acutely agnosticism Gore is a league-winning pick, but he has bankable aggregate while advantageous and adapter to a acceptable quarterback, so his negatives aren’t calmly dismissible. Reaching into the blaze is account application for Gore already the 6th annular hits, abnormally if you’ve formed the advanced receiver position thoroughly to alpha off drafts.
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